Climate change news

A soothing sort of sceptic rather than a contankerous one

An interesting post on communication - the difference between being a sceptic and an AGW true believer, on the one hand, and how each side shouts but fails to persuade. Neither side listens to the other - should the language be calmer, it is asked at http://scottishsceptic.wordpress.com/2011/10/25/the-best-social-critique... and is something to think about. The bit he misses out though is not that sceptics are more intuitive than the other side but they are primarily older - middle aged and above.

Climate - further note on BEST

The BEST debate is still in its infancy. Steve McIntyre has now joined in - see http://climateaudit.org/2011/10/22/first-thoughts-on-best/ where he begins in a positive tone by saying he is impressed by the BEST results as it represents strong evidence against the Hockey Stick model and shows the Little Ice Age as a reality. It is 2 degrees warmer now than at the beginning of the 19th century. It makes you wonder how all those mainstream media journalists managed to get hold of the wrong end of the stick - all guns firing.

Addendum to climate in mid-October

Lots of noise is being generated in the media, desperate to keep the gravy train in place, following a press release concerning the BEST research on global warming - rather, restricted facets of that research. Many blogs have responded to the double talk and the obvious fact that some of the journalists have not even read what they were reporting - or is this a piece of purposeful misrepresentation?

Climate News mid October

Donna Laframboise, a prominent Canadian sceptic and investigative journalist, scourge of the various IPCC reports, has set the wags alight on the blogosphere with her just released book. It pummels the IPCC mercilessly - piece by piece and author by author. The IPCC are given a roasting - and they have come under a lot of criticism after their last couple of reports became an object of derision amongst some sections of the populace.

Clouds

Two papers on clouds - make what you will. See http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/10/09/spencer-finds-the-big-picture-on-c... and on the same web site, a new post by Willis Eschenbach - http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/10/08/estimating-cloud-feedback-from-obs... However, the latter post was updated a day or so later by the author as he realised he had not taken sufficient notice of certain aspects. Hence, it is necessary to read both versions.

clouds (missed) and a long lost lake ...

A new paper purportedly debunking the Svensmark hypotheiss, published in the Journal of Climate, follows a similar pattern to other critiques - by apparently ignoring changes to satellite data reception (see http://calderup.wordpress.com/2011/10/05/further-attempt-to-falsify-the-...). The idea appears to be to sidetrack Svensmark before the forthcoming IPCC report - in that way his theory will not be taken into consideration. Anything contrary to the consensus co2 theory is being attacked, the Sun, clouds, the missing heat (escaping into space) etc.

co2 and C14

Sediment cores off the coast of Oregon have revealed that the NW Pacific was not a huge reservoir of co2 during the last Ice Age and could therefore not have hastened the rate of warming - see www.physorg.com/print236864292.html. The paper, published in Nature Geoscience, is somewhat baffling, it claims, as the Pacific,nowadays, is thought to be rich in carbon. Indeed, a recent paper alleged that the missing heat was hiding in the oceans - especially in the Pacific.

Pushing a dead horse ... one and two

At www.physorg.com/print236865130.html there is a report on a paper in Applied Geochemistry that resurrects the issue of acid rain (which died a death a number of years ago) and ocean acidification (a new one on the block). These are scare stories that have been debunked but are regularly regurgitated by environmentalists. In this paper not only is King Coal to blame but the smelting and production of metal ores, various mining processes, and the use of nitrogen as a fertiliser by farmers is given the thumbs down.

How is AGW shaping up in September going on for October?

Well, the media are taking full advantage of current mini heat-wave conditions in the UK - all four days of it. They are implying that records are going to be broken - and as we enter day one of October they have been smashed. Meanwhile, over at Weather Action Piers Corbyn is saying a solar storm will bring lots of rain - which may spoil some of the media excitement. This is now happening - in the northern half of the UK. Piers Corbyn is also forecasting further storms and heavy rain later on in October.

Climate models - how they might differ

In a comment at www.drroyspencer.com/2011/09/a-primer-on-our-claim-that-clouds-cause-tem... ... Richard Courtney outlines some research on climate models he did ten years ago and some follow-up papers by others, since then. He says none of the models (the IPCC tracks 20 of them) could match mean global average temperatures in teh 20th century if they did not make use of an assumption, namely that cooling is caused by aerosols in the atmosphere. Hence, all the models input a cooling effect on past temperatures - which they might describe as a mysterious impact from clouds.