Baffles are found in exhaust systems to quieten the noise but in this context the baffled are the climate activists and they tend to make more and more noise. One can hardly believe that genuine scientists really do think that projecting a few years of warming into infinity is a realistic way to look at future trends – but they give every impression to the climate faithful that they do think their projections are honest and truthful and genuine science research. At http://notrickszone.com/2016/01/05/large-number-of-climate-scientists-of… … and we are back once again to the 60 year cycle it would seem.
This is a translation from the German. Dr Dietrich Koelle lists 10 failed forecasts regarding sea ice disappearing as the leader to the article but then goes on to show that sea ice in the Arctic declines and grows over a 60 year periodicity. What is clear is that the doom sayers have simply projected the warming points into infinity – assuming temperatures will continue to rise. They have failed to take into account the 60 year solar cycle – and they do not even want to look at it yet alone use it in their models. He quotes David Dilley who worked at NOAA for 20 years.
This agrees with Marcia Wyatt and Judith Curry's 'Stadium Waves' article in that sea ice will remove from its present minimum – see http://judithcurry.com/2013/10/10/the-stadium-wave/ … and see also a Russian index of jet stream loopiness (or the polar vortex in excitable circles) known as ACI for Arctic circulation at http://www.fao.org/docrep/005/y2787e/y2787e03c.htm#FiguraC